Volume 17, No 17, March 2002


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  • What Cause?...........................................................................................By Nisar Sarwar
  • Theories.......................................................................................................By R. A. Chan
  • Middle East....................................................................................................By G. Usher
  • Sharon’s Israel............................................................................................By Sagittarius
  • Offshore Refuge........................................................................................By D. Gonzeles
  • The Password Was Mandalay................................By Lieutenant Colonel James Warner Bellah
Theories
By R.A.Chan

Theories, views, ideas and opinions abound, whenever some incident takes place, particularly
as big as Sep 11. All kind of stories are in the air, both from pro and anti Americans. Facts,
fictions and mixture of both are advanced by many “analysts.” The most favourite theory
is “conspiracy” now a days. In America, the Americans in their attempt to explain the events of
9/11, they have done extensive research; they quote both reliable and not so reliable media reports, weaving unrelated events into a jumbled yarn. Though their theories are as wild and as
speculative as all conspiracy theories are supposed to be, yet the arguments and corroborative
evidence they offer is interesting, to say the least.
No wonder these individuals are reaping a windfall. They are busy on the lecture circuit. Their websites are getting unprecedented hits in this grief- stricken time when the Americans are still trying to grab a grip on the new phenomenon. The theories prove nothing conclusively as they leave the most important questions out of the gamut of their inquiry. However, they succeed in talking their audience on a sinister roller- coaster ride.
Their ringleader is Michael Ruppert. He is a former LA drug investigator whose “From the Wilderness” publications and “copvcia.com” are doing great. He claims that many congressmen subscribe to his website and prestigious publications like Le Monde Diplomatique highly recommend it. He is going from one campus to another giving
presentations to packed halls and jamming the lines on radio talk shows. He claims to be on a noble mission: to expose what is rotting in the American body politic. It is worth one’s while to take a look at his web of reasoning. The following is a brief summary of the timeline of events before and after September 11 and their explanation posted on his website. In the weeks and months prior to the 9/11 bombshell, the Bush administration was busy setting the stage for the forth coming conflict in Afghanistan while coldly ignoring the Russian, French and German intelligence agencies’ clear warnings of the impending terrorist attack on the US soil. The largest British naval armada, since the Falklands war, was steaming toward the Gulf of Oman as part of “ Operation Swift Sword”. Some 17,000 US troops were exercising in Egypt under” Operation Bright Star” also, around the same time. Two US carrier battle groups arrived in the Arabian Gulf just off the coast of Pakistan, long before the first plane had hit the world Trade Center.
Two months prior to the attack, Osama Bin Laden, while undergoing treatment for kidney aliment, had a meeting with the local CIA Station Chief in his hospital room in Dubai, may be to trash out the final details. Former ISI chief, General Mehmud Ahmed was not in Washington during the week before 9/11 just by a coincidence. He was busy giving final touches to the plans in his meetings with Deputy Secretary of State, Richard Armitage, and the CIA chief George Tenet. He was fully involved with Muhammad Atta having wired him $ 100,000 few weeks before as reported by the Times of India.
The Bush administration was orchestrating all this to pursue a very dark agenda, an agenda of total global hegemony in the 21st century, even at the cost of such a great human tragedy on its own soil. The intellectual framework for this agenda had been provided by Zbigniew Brzezinsky, the most pre-eminent geostrategic thinker in the US, in his 1997 book The Grand Chessboard: America Primacy and its Geostrategic Imperatives. He says: “America is not only the first, as well as the only truly global superpower, but it is also likely to be the very last.” And to remain one as
long as possible, advises former president Carter’s National Security Advisor, the US needs to control Eurasia, particularly theCentral Asian republics and their vast energy and mineral reserves.
Given American public’s aversion to any projection of military might abroad in peace time, a military action against Afghanistan would have been impossible without a pretext like the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour, which gave President Roosevelt the excuse to join the World War II.
What has transpired in the after wash of 9/11 also confirms a well-planned sequence of events. Developments such as the setting up of US bases in Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan despite the end of the shooting war in Afghanistan, the reported revival of the Turkmenistan pipeline project, are all pointers in the same direction. The monopolarity, Brzezinsky so avidly advocates, has also been manifestly asserted in President’s Bush’s post 9/11 “you are with us or against us” doctrine. A global power configuration is increasingly evident where other international actors have to either
play the American tune or risk becoming the next victims of its military or diplomatic wrath.
In the classic paranoid tradition of the conspiracy theorists, he and others of his ilk seem to believe that cabals of cigar-smoking billionaires and their pet politicians are cooking up schemes of world domination while sitting in their palatial salons in front of cracking fireplaces. Such scenarios are a throwback to the era of cabals such as the Rosicrucian, Illuminati, and Freemasons. Their modern-day reincarnations, according to Antony Sutton who runs the Ctrl.com, are packs like the Carlyle group, which in reality is an investment firm with George Bush Sr. as one of its advisors. (The bin Ladens had $2 million invested in it, which they withdrew right away after the WTC and Pentagon attacks.) The other cabals cited by Ruppert include the Bilderberger Group, allegedly a non-partisan group of the richest individuals in
America, and the Trilateral Commission, allegedly founded by none other than Mr. Brzeznisky himself.
Ruppert seems to solely rely on Brzezinsky for providing the grandeostrategic backdrop to his conspiracy theory.
Brzezinsky does not need any introduction. He is one of the most respected geostrategists in the US and this status has given him a bipartisan access to the corridors of power. He is also an advisor to the Carlyle Group. And along with Henry Kissinger, was on the payroll of the Unocal, the energy company that nursed grand ambitions in Central Asia.
Policy mavens and academics took Brezezinsky’s book very seriously when it came out. In this book, he, like a grand chess master lays out a game plan with several moves planned ahead for the US domination of Eurasia, which he calls “the globe’s central arena” in the 21st century. He says the key to controlling Eurasia lies in controlling Central Asia (“the Eurasian Balkans”) with its enormous concentration of natural resources. And, the key to controlling central Asia is Uzbekistan, whose homogenous population of 25 million and vast oil reserves make it the chief arbiter of power in the region.
With the world’s energy consumption expected to go up by more than 50 percent during 1993 and 2015, with the fastest increase in consumption occurring in the Far East, the pressure is already mounting for the exploration and development of new resources. The Central Asian region including the Caspian Sea basin, furnishes the answer to that demand. The strategy Brzezinsky offers in multi-pronged: promoting geopolitical pluralism in the space of the former Soviet empire to induce Russia to exercise its European option, identifying the goals of the political elites of these republics, the likely consequences of their seeking to attain them and offsetting, co-opting and controlling the above.
His views are immersed in the Anglo-American imperial geostrategic thought, which seeks “to prevent collusion among the client states, maintaining their security dependence and


keeping the tributaries paint”. He warns against the emergence of the forces of global disorder that could come to dominate the world scene. He advises: “This puts a premium on manoeuvre and manipulation in order to prevent the emergence of a hostile coalition.”
Coming back to Ruppert, who seems to believe that Brzezinsky’s game plan is already being translated into reality, the 9/11 attack was nothing more than a replay of the Pearl Harbour attack. He puts undue emphasis on a fleeting reference Brzezinsky mentioned in his book to Pearl Harbour attack as a spur for the US intervention in the World War II, to bolster his claim that the 9/11 was a trigger, the US needed to set the final conquest in motion. To support this claim, he twists many unrelated media reports into finger directly pointing at American involvement all along. He did not say in so many words but insinuates that Osama is an agent and he took his hosts, the Taliban, for a ride.
The famous anti-US establishment commentator Naon Chomsky to rejects these theories out rightly of the window. When asked in a recent meeting in the New York to comment upon the conspiracy theories of the garden variety, he only took a second and dismissed them as “breathlessly idiotic”.
Game Plan
By J. Lobe

Evicting Al Qaeda and the Taliban was
the easy part; the aftermath is turning
out to be much more difficult. The US military so far has failed to find Osama
bin Laden and other top Al Qaeda or Taliban leaders. Most of Afghanistan appears to have fallen back under the control of tribal and ethnic warlords - the same people who made the rise of the Taliban possible in the first place.
These are the conclusions of a classified report by the CIA, parts of which were leaked to the New York Times. The
report went on to warn that the "seeds
of possible internal chaos" have
been planted.

Not only have the warlords, armed and empowered by the US military campaign itself, begun to jostle and skirmish for position in post-Taliban Afghanistan, but also foreign powers - including Russia, Uzbekistan, Iran, and Turkey - are providing aid to their favourites, setting the stage for a broader and potentially more violent set of conflicts.
While the countryside prepares for the chaos to come, the central government headed by Hamid Karzai is forced to beg the US and other Western powers for money to pay the salaries of its officials, even as the donors spend week after week arguing over whether the British-led international security force should be deployed outside Kabul, or a new Afghan army should be built over the next six months.
The report illustrates the degree to which the administration of President George W. Bush has failed to think through the consequences of its "war against terrorism," not only in Afghanistan, which at the momenthas the most to lose from the administration's lack of planning, but also in other regions where it is intervening with US troops and other assets to fight alleged terrorists. A fatal crash of a helicopter ferrying newly arrived US Special Operations Forces (SOF) to the southern Philippines as part of an "anti-terrorism exercise," for example, drew renewed attention to the deployment of some 650 US troops to the country's most impoverished region.
While the specific target of US intervention is a small rebel group, Abu Sayyaf, which holds two US kidnap victims, the same region is home to two much larger armies, the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), only one of which has negotiated peace with the central government. Local officials in the area have already complained that the mere presence of US troops, which fought a bloody counter-insurgency against the Moros a century ago, could weaken still-fragile peace efforts between the army, whose tactics have become more aggressive in recent weeks, and the two movements, according to published reports.
"The real aim of the US mission is political: to demonstrate momentum in the war on terror, deploy troops in a country where they are welcome, show the flag in Southeast Asia, and find an enemy that can be quickly beaten," noted New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof. According to Kristof, the reality there is much different and more dangerous, particularly for an enduring peace in the area.
The same pattern is clear with respect to Iraq, for which military and intelligence planners are even now drawing up options for an intervention designed to oust long-time Bush nemesis and charter member of the current President Bush's "axis of evil," President Saddam Hussein. Or, as noted by Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Joseph Biden, "The easy part is going to be, in a bizarre sense, taking Saddam out. The hard part is what do you do after that?" Just like Afghanistan.


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